Friday, February 27, 2015

Lavishly's Picks MASL Week #19

Baltimore -13.5 @ Harrisburg +13.5 over/under 29.5  Baltimore already locked up the number one spot in the division, so they wont be sportsing as hard today, and will most likely have some players who usually don't sports as much sportsing a lot tonight.  Baltimore has the formula to win, but I don't know if they will apply that formula.  The key for Harrisburg is scoring more goals than Baltimore, and keeping Baltimore from scoring goals.  Harrsiburg will really have to sports hard to win, or at least come within 13.5 of the Blast, but I don't think they will sports hard enough.  Baltimore covers and the game goes over.

Detroit -2.5 @ Harrisburg +2.5 over/under 27.5  Sportsing two nights in a row will be a lot for the Heat, and against a Detroit team, which you know will be sportsing hard, will be a tall order for the young Heat.  Detroit will sports hard enough to cover the 2.5 in Harrisburg, but neither team will sports hard enough to cover the 27.5 points.

Baltimore -4.5 @ Rochester +4.5 over/under 18.5  Since this game has no real meaning, I will go out on a limb and say that Rochester will sports hard enough at home to pull within 4.5 of the visiting Blast.  Baltimore will be sportsing hard, but the fact that they will have sportsed two nights before will work out in the Lancers favor.  This will be a good game with a lot of back and fourth sportsing, and I think that they will both sports hard enough to cover the 18.5 points

Detroit +5.5 @ Syracuse -5.5 over/under 18.5  Detroit will have trouble trying to sports two days in a row, especially against a fresh team like the Silver Knights who will be ready to sports it up in anticipation of the up coming playoffs.  Don't get me wrong, Detroit will be sportsing hard during the first half, but in the second half they will struggle to sports hard due to fatigue in the legs.  The Silver Knights sports a great game and cover the points, and the game goes over.  Sports on MASL fans! Sports on!

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

INDOOR OUTHOUSE PLAYOFF POWER RANKINGS

1. Monterrey Flash  "Monterrey Flash at the top" you say.  Why yes, and here is why I think so.  The Flash have won the division with ease, and the two teams that the Flash might face to advance on to the final four from the Southern Division are teams that they have beat before, Dallas and Oxford.  They will also face which ever team advances at home, which gives them an advantage.  In the semifinals they will face a Pacific Division team, either San Diego, Las Vegas, or Ontario.  Monterrey has both beaten and lost to the Sockers and the Legends in the past, and played a close one against the Fury.  They have a very good chance to make it to the semis, but from there anything can happen.

2. Baltimore Blast  Baltimore has the number of both Syracuse and Rochester this season, and should be able to advance out of the division.  They will face the winner of the Central Division in the semifinals which could be either Chicago, Milwaukee, or Missouri, which will be no easy task for the Blast, but they have proven that they can beat the Mustangs and Wave at home.  The match up that everyone wants to see though is with the Comets, which I do hope happens, but who knows?

3. Missouri Comets  Missouri is carrying the baggage of being undefeated into the postseason, which isn't easy, plus they team that they will face is either the Wave, who have been battling injuries, or Chicago, who are on a losing streak at exactly the wrong time.  The fact that both the Mustangs and Wave are wounded animals that many have counted out makes them even more dangerous.  It will be a tough battle out of the Central and then a tough battle with most likely the Baltimore Blast.

4. San Diego Sockers  Getting out of the Pacific will be difficult for the Sockers.  If they face Las Vegas they will be playing a team that always steps it up against San Diego.  Las Vegas have beaten the Sockers in San Diego, they have beaten San Diego to move on to the semifinals, and they just got done beating the Sockers in the regular season. If Las Vegas makes it San Diego they will be riding a six game winning streak which gives them the momentum that makes them even more dangerous.  If San Diego faces Ontario it will also be dangerous, and here is my reasoning.  Ontario has never beaten San Diego, so eventually they have to win right?  If you are playing craps and rolling hot, hitting your numbers over and over again, feeling high and making money, things are great right, but eventually you will throw a seven, the fun will stop, and you will see that you have left a ton of money on the table that now belongs to the house.  Eventually the Sockers are going to roll a 7 with the Fury, but when.

5. Las Vegas Legends  They made it to the Finals last year, and they are hot right now.  They can and have gone into Ontario and won.  The thing that really seems to help the Legends is their new Talisman from Detroit, Dominic Scicluna.

6. Syracuse Silver Knights  The Silver Knights are my Dark Horse in this whole thing.  If they can get past the Lancers to face the Blast then they might be able to pull off the upset of the year and beat the Blast and move on to the semifinals.  I know from listening to Kick This that Syracuse want to get a shot at Baltimore and make it count.

7. MKE Wave  The Wave are quality.  Getting out of the division will be a challenge, but if they do they will be rolling with a head of steam making them tough to stop.  The think that hurts them is their keeper situation right now, but if they figure it out then watch out.

8. Oxford City F.C.  They have some good pieces on the roster, and if they can get hot they can do some damage.  Their fate depends upon whether or not Juan Gamboa starts standing on his head at the right time.  If Gamboa gets hot it will carry them far into the tournament.  They can beat Dallas, and they can hang with the Flash, but if they make it to the semifinals then I think it ends there.

9. Ontario Fury  They Fury are a damn good team, but they have yet to find their true success.  I am not sure if they can make it out of their first game with the Legends, but if they do they will be no push over for the Sockers.  Ontario has improved drastically from last year, and I don't think that this year is quite their time, but next year I expect the Fury to be not only a powerhouse in the division, but in the entire league.  

10. Rochester Lancers  I feel the same way about the Lancers as Soccer Sam does on his Kick This radio broadcast, that the Lancers are just a few pieces away from being a true contender.  They have some great players and a talented team, but something just is missing that, when they find it, will make the whole difference.  Maybe it is the Mohican Warrior not playing a full season, not enough players are rocking the Hoxie mustache, or maybe the team is eating too much good Italian food from Salvatore's.  Who knows, but I hope they figure it out.

11. Dallas Sidekicks  I watched the Sidekicks' last game against Monterrey, and it wasn't pretty.  Dallas has had a number of struggles all season that have set them back, but to their credit they have fought hard and dealt with the blows as they have come.  It will be a difficult battle for them this post season, and the fact they they have yet to win a playoff game since joining the league doesn't help.  Maybe they are better suited for the under dog position.

12. Chicago Mustangs  The wheels came off at home against Syracuse, then they went careening off the road in Syracuse, finally they slammed into a wall in Baltimore.  It doesn't look good for the Mustangs.


Sunday, February 22, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Sunday MASL Week #18

Saltillo +1.5 @ Brownsville -1.5 over/under 14.5  Brownsville at home cover and the game goes over.

Rochester +3.5 @ Syracuse -3.5 over/under 23.5  Syracuse at home covers and the game stays under.

Wichita -7.5 @ Tulsa +7.5 over/under 17.5  Tulsa gets the points and the game stays under.

Tacoma +14.5 @ Missouri -14.5 over/under 20.5  A tired Tacoma team, Missouri covers and the game goes over

Sacramento +8.5 @ Las Vegas -8.5 over/under 17.5  Vegas will have no mercy on a lesser team and cover the points.  The game goes over.

Saturday, February 21, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Saturday MASL Week #18

Harrisburg +17.5 @ Baltimore -17.5 over/under 29.5  What a terrible game.  I am guessing Baltimore will play their reserves so I will give Harrisburg the points and the game stays under.

Texas -0.5 @ Brownsville +0.5 over/under 14.5  Texas wins and the game goes over.

Detroit +5.5 @ Milwaukee - 5.5 over/under 13.5  The Wave are in healing mode.  Detroit gets the points and the game goes over.

Monterrey +0.5 @ Dallas -0.5 over/under 9.5  This is the game that I am the most interested in.  Dallas wins and the game goes over.

Tulsa +7.5 @ Wichita -7.5 over/under 17.5  Wichita covers at home and the game goes over.

Tacoma +5.5 @ St. Louis -5.5 over/under 15.5  St. Louis covers and the game goes over

Ontario +5.5 @ San Diego -5.5 over/under 13.5  I will give the points to Ontario and the game stays under.

Friday, February 20, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Friday MASL Week #18

St. Louis -3.5 @ Tulsa +3.5 over/under 14.5  Tulsa is bad, and the fact that they are playing at home isn't going to help them.  St. Louis is a good team with a great defense, and even though they lost to the Heat, I doubt they lay an egg on the road to another lesser team.  The Ambush cover the 3.5 on the road, the game goes over, and two players on the Ambush score a hat trick, probably Sinclair and Gurson if I had to guess who. 

Chicago +7.5 @ Baltimore -7.5 over/under 13.5  The Mustangs just got ran up and down the field by the Silver Knights, and now they have to travel into Baltimore to face the Blast.  Things aren't looking so hot for Chicago right now, but a win on the road against a top team like Baltimore would give the Mustangs a huge amount of momentum going into the post season.  One of the Mustangs' strengths on the field is their speed and pace of play, but after the game they had last night, travel, and the speed in which Baltimore can operate, I think that the second half will be toughest for the visiting team.  Also, Baltimore has the defense and keeper  to put a stop to the Chicago offensive threats like Vaca, Wilo, and Hewerton.  Baltimore covers the spread and the game goes over.

Thursday, February 19, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Thursday MASL Week #18

Harrisburg +9.5 @ Rochester -9.5 over/under 30.5  Last time I weighed in on this match-up I thought that Harrisburg could hang in and keep it close with the Lancers and I thought that the game would stay under 29 points or something like that.  I was wrong.  This time I will sing a different tune and say that the game will go over 30.5 and that at home Rochester will layeth the smackith down on a Thursday night at home by covering the 9.5 points. 

Chicago +3.5 @ Syracuse -3.5 over/under 17.5  The Silver Knights are brewing something up in Syracuse that could take the Eastern Division by surprise.  If getting hot at the right moment is the key to winning in the postseason, then watch out, Syracuse is getting hot.  Chicago will try to come into Syracuse and pour some water on the Silver Knights in an attempt to cool them off, but things don't seem right in Chicago.  The Mustangs seem to be missing something as of late, but what it is I am not quite sure.  The Mustangs need to win at least one game out of the two they will be playing this weekend to keep from sliding into the postseason on a 3 game losing skid, and a win in Baltimore is unlikely.  We will see what happens tonight, but I will guess that Syracuse covers the 3.5 and the game goes over 17.5.

Sunday, February 15, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Sunday MASL Week #17

Brownsville +7.5 @ Dallas -7.5 over/under 11.5  There is a good chance that Dallas runs it up on the Barracudas at home, so I will go with Dallas covering the spread, and the game going over.

Syracuse +0.5 @ Chicago -0.5 over/under 18.5  Both teams are playing their second in a row, so I will stick with the unders in this one.  The Mustangs are the better team in my opinion and should have no trouble beating the Silver Knights at home.

Oxford City +5.5 @ Monterrey -5.5 over/under 12.5  This is a look into a possible post season match-up and should be interesting.  Oxford will stay within 5.5 that I am sure of, but the over/under is a little tricky because both teams have good goalies.  I will go with the unders in this one, but I am not as sure about it.  

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Saturday MASL Week #17

Harrisburg +8.5 @ Rochester -8.5 over/under 28.5  After watching the Mohican Warrior's Valentines Day monologue for this game I have a great deal more interest in this game.  I have been following what has been going on with Elliot Fauske through the Rochester broadcasts that he has done and by tuning into "Kick This" hosted by Soccer Sam.  I hope that Elliot sees a lot of time on the field and gets a goal.  If this was the only game of the week for the Lancers then I might consider picking them to cover the points, but since they just played a game yesterday in Baltimore I think that I will give the points to Harrisburg.  Just like Baltimore last week, and the Sockers this week, playing 2 games in a row has an effect on the second half of the second game.  Rochester still wins, but they don't cover, and 28.5 points is a lot of points, so I will go with the unders.

Chicago -0.5 @ Detroit +0.5  over/under 12.5  This is a tough one to call, Chicago is a great team, but Detroit is always a beast at home.  Chicago has had a lot of time off to get their house in order and address aspects of their play that needs to be improved.  Detroit is playing the last game in a 5 game home stand that has seen them only win 1 game.  Detroit will keep it close the whole game, and there will be a lot of defense in this game, I think.  I will go with Detroit with the win at home, and the game staying under.

Tulsa +14.5 @ Missouri -14.5 over/under 18.5  What a stinker of a game.  Missouri could beat the Revolution by 20 if they really wanted, but that would be extremely boring.  I think that the Comets will have mercy and compassion, pull back on the reins. play some back ups, and avoid running up the score.  Tulsa with the points and the game stays under.

Turlock -0.5 @ Sacramento +0.5 over/under 16.5  I had this game all wrong yesterday.  It seems like the Surge have thrown in the towel on the season and are letting some of the lesser players get some time on the field.  Turlock wins again and the game stays under.

Syracuse +3.5 @ Milwaukee -3.5 over/under 20.5  Don't sleep on the Silver Knights, they come to do battle.  Now is the time to strike with MKE plagued with the injures.  This could be the upset of the weekend.  I will give the points to the Silver Knights and go with the unders.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Friday MASL Week #17

Sacramento +4.5 @ Turlock -4.5 over/under 17.5  After the fire sale that the Express had before the trade deadline, they're not the same team.  Sacramento nedds to bring a complete team of top players, that will be the difference maker.  If they're able to bring their full roster of Surge players there (how's that Craig?), then they have a good chance to win, let alone come within 4.5 goals of the Express.  So I will give the points to Sacramento and pick the game to stay under 17.5.

Oxford City -0.5 @ Saltillo +0.5 over/under 16.5  Saltillo is a better team at home, and Oxford is the most improved team in the league, we all know that, but I think that Saltillo has a good shot of pulling off a big win at home against the visiting F.C..  I will go out on a limb and say that Rancho Seco pulls it off, so I will give them the half point, and I will say the game is low scoring, so I will take the under.

Rochester +7.5 @ Baltimore -7.5 over/under 20.5  The Blast return home after a rough visit to the Pacific Division where they played two of the best teams in the division.  Baltimore is not going lose three in a row, so I don't think that the Lancers have a chance win.  The Lancers are going to play a good game and keep it close for a whole, but the Blast will pull beyond the 7.5 point mark at the end of the game.  I also think that the game will barely stay under the 20.5 mark.

San Diego +0.5 @ Las Vegas -0.5 over/under 11.5  San Diego has already clinched the division.  Las Vegas, who has pick up some important pieces in Tovar, whose presence has noticeably improved the team's passing, and Dominic Scicluna, whose enthusiasm has breathed new life into the bench.  I think that the Legends will be the better team tonight and pull off the win at home, and carry the momentum of tonight's win into Sacramento and into the post season.  Las Vegas covers and the game goes over.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Thursday MASL Week #17

San Diego -1.5 @ Ontario +1.5 over/under 13.5  A win tonight guarantees a division championship and home field advantage for the San Diego Sockers.  A win for the Ontario Fury keeps their hopes alive for a chance to take the lead in the division and get the home field advantage in the post season.  Ontario makes me nervous, and I think that they have a good chance at winning the game tonight.  Guto and Topete have been playing great for the Fury since they came aboard, and as always Tiguinho and Nunez are outstanding players that are always a threat to score goals or points in the form of assists.  The Sockers are starting a difficult set of road games which starts in Ontario and ends in Las Vegas.  The biggest thing that the Sockers need to do in these two game, in my terrible opinion, is stay off the IR.  San Diego need to get through this trip without any more blows to their roster.  Ontario doesn't worry me, it's the Vegas game that scares me.  I have a terrible fear that a cheap shot will sideline an important piece to the team.  I hope that the Legends proves me wrong.  Ontario keeps it close in their last regular season home game, even holding the lead at times, and maybe even winning the game.  Ontario +1.5 over 13.5.
 

Sunday, February 8, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Sunday Week #16



Missouri -4.5 @ Wichita +4.5 over/under 16.5  Normally I would say that this would be Missouri's game, no question, but this has been an out of the ordinary weekend, so I will go out on a limb and say that Wichita comes within 4.5 and the game stays under.  Could this be the day that Wichita beats the Comets and ends their undefeated streak?  That would be wild.

Turlock -1.5 @ Tacoma +1.5 over/under 15.5  I will give the Stars the points and take the unders.  Turlock has lost a lot of key players and I think they will struggle to beat the Stars.

Saturday, February 7, 2015

Lavishly's Picks Saturday MASL Week #16

Milwaukee -2.5 @ Wichita +2.5 over/under 11.5  The Wave just beat down the Revolution at home with the greatest of ease, but now they must go and face a quality Wichita team that is looking to make their way into the playoffs.  Wichita is 4-3 at home so far this season, and Milwaukee is 5-4 on the road.  This one is tough to call because I think that the B-52's will play the Wave close, but I don't think that they will win.  I say Milwaukee barely covers and the game goes over.

Harrisburg +5.5 @ Detroit -5.5 over/under 25.5  It's never easy to win in Detroit, but these lines are all off and should be easy to call.  First of all, the game will not go over 25.5.  It seems that Massey Ratings is a little confused over MPS.  I will say Harrisburg comes within 6 goals of Detroit because the Heat seem to be getting better, but they just struggle to play a complete game most of the time and give up soft goals that kill them.

St.Louis -3.5 @ Tulsa +3.5 over/under 15.5  Tulsa is still terrible.  Ambush cover and the game stays under.

Dallas -1.5 @ Oxford +1.5 over/under 13.5  This game will be interesting.  Oxford has improved exponentially over the course of the season and this game looks to be a preview of the first round of playoffs in the Southern Division.  I will give the points to Oxford at home, and with both teams having quality goal keepers I will bank on the game staying under 13.5.  I have been keeping my eye on the Sidekicks.  If they can get a complete team together and get hot at the end of the season, then they might have a good chance to go deep in the postseason this year.

Monterrey -4.5 @ Brownsville +4.5 over/under 11.5  The Flash should be able to cover the points on the road, but this game goes over 11.5.

Sacramento +5.5 @ Ontario -5.5 over/under 17.5  The last time these two teams played each other Ontario barely escaped with a win, but that was in Sacramento.  In Ontario I think that the Fury can cover the points, but the score stays under 17.5.

Baltimore -7.5 @ San Diego +7.5 over/under 16.5  Things don't look so good for the Sockers despite the Legends handing the Blast their first loss of the season last night.  It seems unlikely that Baltimore will lose 2 games in a row, but given that they are on the road, they just played a game that went into overtime, and they still have to travel might take a toll on the Blast that could help SD.  The Sockers Legends will be in the house tonight to get honored and watch the game.  I am stoked about that.  I have some autographs that I want to try and get.  Does anyone remember last year when the old school Sockers came out to watch a game?  I do.  The Sockers clammed up, and Las Vegas jumped out to a 7-1 lead in no time.  San Diego was able to chip away at the lead in what turned out to be an exciting game in which the Sockers ultimately lost.  If the Sockers cough up points like that against Baltimore I can guarantee you that the Sockers don't climb back.  Baltimore is a well coached team that will be ready for the game tonight.  They just got slapped by Vegas.  Was that a wake up slap?  The classic "get a hold of yourself!" slap to the face in which the recipient says "Thanks, I needed that."  The big thing that scares me, or more accurately, the lack of the big thing, is the absence of  Nick Perera.  All offensive roads flow through Nick Perera, and with out him on the field I fear that our offense will be left wanting.  I will give the points to the Sockers in this one, because it is unlikely that we lose by 8 points, and I will stick with the unders because you know this is going to be a low scoring defensive game, at least for a while.  Don't get me wrong, I think that the Sockers have the recipe to win tonight at home, but it calls for 2 cups of "Sockers Magic!"    

Friday, February 6, 2015

Lavisly's Picks Friday MASL Week #16

Missouri -5.5 @ St. Louis +5.5 over/under 16.5  The Ambush coughed up a win to the Harrisburg Heat, and then pulled off a win in Detroit in a very tight game.  It seems like St.Louis has not been clicking as of late, but I think they are due for a good showing at home against the undefeated Comets.  I am not saying that they are going to win the game, but I think that they have a good chance at keeping within 5.5 of Missouri at home, so I will give the Ambush the points.  Both Missouri and St.Louis have strong defenses, so I will go ahead and take the unders.  Hopefully I can make it home in time to catch this game on ESPN3 to start out my soccer weekend.

Milwaukee -8.5 @ Tulsa +8.5 over/under 13.5  I don't think that Tulsa has a chance to beat the visiting Wave, but last time that Tulsa played the Wave in Milwaukee they only lost by 6.  I will give the Revolution the points in this one and hope that they can hang with the better team.  13.5 seems like a small amount of points, so I will go with the unders.

Brownsville +2.5 @ Saltillo -2.5 over/under 15.5  Saltillo seems to be playing better soccer now than they did early in the season, where as is seemed like Brownsville played better at the beginning of the season, and have progressively gotten worse, but I think this is the Barracudas night.  No real reason.  This game is off of my radar.  Points go to Brownsville, game stays under.

Baltimore -9.5 @ Las Vegas +9.5 over/under 17.5  This is the game that has my interest, and I will be watching it closely.  Las Vegas has picked up some players at the trade deadline that I want to see on the field for the Legends.  I am also interested in seeing what the Legends game plan will be against the Blast.  Will they play a good game on defense, or will they foul hard and often to sacrifice a blue card or two in order to try and throw the Blast off their game.?  How will the Legends play on the offensive side of the ball.  Can they get it going and score some clean goals, or will it be a scrappy effort with some ugly goals.  Will the Legends announcers bring their A game in calling the play by play?  Will Dave K. jump on the field and streak across the Orleans Arena desperately avoiding security?   We will see what happens, but all I want is a good feed on-line, and a good clean game from both sides.  Vegas gets the points and the game stays under.